In a series of polls released this week, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are now statistically tied nationally and in three battleground states – Florida, Ohio, and Nevada.
According to RealClearPolitics’ polling average on Friday, Clinton has the support of 45.7 percent of likely voters to Trump’s 44.2 percent.
Despite the nastiness of this election cycle, Washington Bureau Chief Carl Cannon says the polling itself has not been volatile.
“These candidates are volatile and national events are volatile and people are unsettled but the race – Clinton has had a small lead, maybe a million sized lead, and now it’s a small lead. She has never really been behind Trump.”
According to Cannon, the real deciding factor will be swing voters, he says is a larger group than it has been in the last few elections.
Trump has been doing well with white working class voters, which is approximately 30 percent of the population according to the US Census Bureau. In Ohio, a Bloomberg poll showed that Trump has a 43-point lead with white men without a college degree.
“What does that tell us? This is a group that is unhappy with the status quo. They are unhappy with Clinton; they are not crazy about Obama. They really want to send a message. They are angry; they want change. I think, to them, Trump reflects change more than Clinton.”
Polls released in the last week have shown him ahead of Clinton in some key states. A CNN/ORC poll reported support for Trump in Florida at 46 percent to Clinton’s 41 percent. The same poll showed in Ohio that 50 percent of likely voters support Trump; 46 percent support Clinton. In Nevada, a Monmouth poll had Trump at 44 percent and Clinton at 44 percent.
Check out our video for Cannon’s take on why the race is narrowing and the importance of white educated voters, a voting bloc that has voted Republican for decades.
Senate Races Tightening in Weeks Before Election
October 22, 2016Senate Races Tightening in Weeks Before Election
October 22, 2016Just over two weeks away from Election Day and RealClearPolitics’ polling data show that 7...
Voter Turnout Could Prove All Polling Wrong
October 22, 2016Voter Turnout Could Prove All Polling Wrong
October 22, 2016As the November election looms in just a few weeks, new poll results are released almost d...
How Political Demographics are Shifting in North Carolina’s Rural Counties
October 20, 2024How Political Demographics are Shifting in North Carolina’s Rural Counties
October 20, 202480 of North Carolina’s 100 counties are rural, making it the most rural swing state. Canva...
OCTOBER 19, 2024
October 20, 2024OCTOBER 19, 2024
October 20, 2024This week, Matter of Fact heads to North Carolina, the battleground state with the most ru...
Nonpartisan Voters Outnumber Democrats and Republicans in Nevada
September 15, 2024Nonpartisan Voters Outnumber Democrats and Republicans in Nevada
September 15, 2024Ahead of November 5th, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are ...
SEPTEMBER 14, 2024
September 15, 2024SEPTEMBER 14, 2024
September 15, 2024This week Matter of Fact starts season 10 with the first stop of the battleground state to...
AUGUST 10, 2024
August 11, 2024AUGUST 10, 2024
August 11, 2024This week Matter of Fact travels to Michigan where there’s a growing debate over the need ...
How Third Parties Impact the American Democracy
June 2, 2024How Third Parties Impact the American Democracy
June 2, 2024The 2024 presidential election is set to be a re-match of 2020, and many Americans aren’t ...
